Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 3.564274 4.267321 5.052744 5.992309 7.082614 8.304804 9.775229
2025-07-06 2.533790 3.422527 4.520930 5.966228 7.804353 10.049245 12.981718
2025-07-13 2.055579 3.065344 4.419509 6.340658 8.963190 12.380588 17.125744
2025-07-20 1.678770 2.731004 4.245826 6.537311 9.856279 14.418176 21.073991
2025-07-27 1.438030 2.525658 4.191168 6.852997 10.905946 16.729501 25.578968
2025-08-03 1.185589 2.242172 3.958472 6.847226 11.454683 18.350133 29.222854
2025-08-10 0.945372 1.924305 3.609488 6.591962 11.565105 19.300325 31.927104
2025-08-17 0.762224 1.665659 3.309545 6.360005 11.661453 20.205390 34.600446
2025-08-24 0.647745 1.510379 3.160796 6.355775 12.115269 21.690443 38.272140
2025-08-31 0.556725 1.381820 3.037804 6.374100 12.597242 23.245108 42.155563
2025-09-07 0.472002 1.247634 2.880507 6.302458 12.902024 24.513248 45.641769
2025-09-14 0.381613 1.079564 2.625812 6.003934 12.750396 24.968309 47.764240
2025-09-21 0.325904 0.982517 2.507697 5.969490 13.105835 26.371104 51.682126
2025-09-28 0.278262 0.894203 2.393837 5.927933 13.442056 27.766181 55.692949
2025-10-05 0.262648 0.887546 2.465902 6.295142 14.632160 30.833287 62.939804
2025-10-12 0.238508 0.851130 2.460811 6.488916 15.481889 33.314795 69.265311
2025-10-19 0.222975 0.836197 2.505964 6.802016 16.609836 36.409695 76.931913
2025-10-26 0.194604 0.774258 2.420545 6.796117 17.048351 38.178045 82.178987
2025-11-02 0.160641 0.684031 2.243425 6.542487 16.911842 38.779044 85.196490
2025-11-09 0.133032 0.606397 2.085396 6.312054 16.798902 39.410534 88.301571
2025-11-16 0.116568 0.563742 2.019182 6.307848 17.205722 41.146181 93.714932
2025-11-23 0.102866 0.527225 1.964382 6.326049 17.665751 43.023392 99.524280
2025-11-30 0.088783 0.484263 1.881281 6.254883 17.900516 44.427595 104.435592